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Sep 22, 2012
09/12
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as voters get holder, obama does worse. obama is winning overall in each of these polls but his support is totally dependent on specific age groups. up see the exact same pattern in the data from fox news's latest polling. yeah, fox news. mr. romney is winning with older voters. so if you are a political technician and trying to win the state of florida for your candidate, this polling pattern is not just an interesting fact about how this state is likely to vote. what you are looking at right there is actionable intelligence. what political messaging is going to be most effective for winning this state given these age-specific numbers. again, you do not have to guess. it's an empirical question with an empirical answer. it is in the numbers. look from that same fox news poll. regardless of how you might vote, which presidential candidate do you prust to do a better job on protecting medicare? look at the margin. president obama winning that question in florida by a 13-point margin. so the people who want barack obama to wi
as voters get holder, obama does worse. obama is winning overall in each of these polls but his support is totally dependent on specific age groups. up see the exact same pattern in the data from fox news's latest polling. yeah, fox news. mr. romney is winning with older voters. so if you are a political technician and trying to win the state of florida for your candidate, this polling pattern is not just an interesting fact about how this state is likely to vote. what you are looking at right...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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obama up by 12 in wisconsin, obama up by 6 in colorado, obama up by 7 in nevada, obama up by 4 in iowa. that's what the campaign is looking like today. polls out today in the states where the campaign most matters at this point. these are the freshest polls. now here is the opposite of the swing states. these are the states where polling is still being done. in some cases, recently. even though the margins are hilarious. like oklahoma where as of last month, mitt romney was up by 29 points. or texas where he was up by 15 points a couple weeks ago or georgia where he was up by 2 it 12 points last week. or utah where polling done over the summer found, surprise, mitt romney ahead by 42 points. the same is true on the other side as well. in california, president obama is leading by 24. he's up by 17 in washington state, he's up in new york by 28 points. the president is also winning mitt romney's home state of massachusetts by 28 points. so these states are obviously something of an after thought for the presidential race. you can raise money there, but campaigning there, it turns out the
obama up by 12 in wisconsin, obama up by 6 in colorado, obama up by 7 in nevada, obama up by 4 in iowa. that's what the campaign is looking like today. polls out today in the states where the campaign most matters at this point. these are the freshest polls. now here is the opposite of the swing states. these are the states where polling is still being done. in some cases, recently. even though the margins are hilarious. like oklahoma where as of last month, mitt romney was up by 29 points. or...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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president obama up by 18. a new suffolk university poll out this week asked about the forced ultrasound law passed by republicans in the legislature in virginia this year, signed into law by the republican governor in the state, bob mcdonald. virginia voters opposed that law by 17 points. the anti-abortion crusade that has been undertaken this year by republican-led state government in virginia is not popular in virginia. and now virginia women are prepared to take it out on the presidency, right? they're planning to vote against the republicans' candidate for president in their state by 18 points. and that was the context for a really important move made by virginia's republican attorney general this week, a move that could be important for the presidential race in virginia. this week the attorney general certified a new set of regulations targeted only at abortion clinics in the united states. the rules are just targeting abortion providers. it red tape specifically designed is to make it economically imposs
president obama up by 18. a new suffolk university poll out this week asked about the forced ultrasound law passed by republicans in the legislature in virginia this year, signed into law by the republican governor in the state, bob mcdonald. virginia voters opposed that law by 17 points. the anti-abortion crusade that has been undertaken this year by republican-led state government in virginia is not popular in virginia. and now virginia women are prepared to take it out on the presidency,...
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Sep 20, 2012
09/12
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it's obama by 43. not obama with 43% of the -- no, obama with a 43-point margin over mr. romney on which candidate connects with ordinary people. if you want mitt romney to be elected president in november, all that polli ining data is ba news. but it is not november. and it is not like mitt romney is quitting the campaign. one foot in front of the either, right? i mean, campaigns have been down before and have come back to win. maybe they have not been down quite this far and come back to win, but stranger things have happened. and part of what determines if a campaign collapse is survivable is how the campaign handles the fact of their collapse, how they manage the crisis, how they try to turn this ship around. campaigning matters. and since mr. romney likes to market himself as a turnaround artist, as a mr. fix-it guy, an opportunity for a real story to tell here. this sure needs fixing. what a story he could tell about how he turned this campaign around, if and when he turns this campaign around. do you know want to know how he trying to turn this campaign around? by
it's obama by 43. not obama with 43% of the -- no, obama with a 43-point margin over mr. romney on which candidate connects with ordinary people. if you want mitt romney to be elected president in november, all that polli ining data is ba news. but it is not november. and it is not like mitt romney is quitting the campaign. one foot in front of the either, right? i mean, campaigns have been down before and have come back to win. maybe they have not been down quite this far and come back to win,...
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Sep 13, 2012
09/12
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and it's a day of shame for the obama administration. we are a place of freedom, here and around the world, and we should stand up and defend freedom wherever it is under attack. >> a dark day, a day of shame, he said. mr. romney made those remarks at about 2:00 in the afternoon on may 3rd. and they drew an almost immediate rebuke from even staunch conservatives, like, for example, bill kristol, that very same afternoon. >> i mean, i'm happy to be critical of the obama administration, as anyone is, but i think this is an awfully fast-moving story, and if i was advising governor romney, i would say, you don't need to get in the middle of this story. to inject yourself in the middle of it, when there were all kinds of negotiations going on, and a fast-moving story, i think it's foolish. there's no reason to inject yourself in and say it's a day of shame for the obama administration. hillary clinton's waking up right now. let's see if she can pull this off in the next 12 hours or not. >> turns out secretary clinton was able to pull it off.
and it's a day of shame for the obama administration. we are a place of freedom, here and around the world, and we should stand up and defend freedom wherever it is under attack. >> a dark day, a day of shame, he said. mr. romney made those remarks at about 2:00 in the afternoon on may 3rd. and they drew an almost immediate rebuke from even staunch conservatives, like, for example, bill kristol, that very same afternoon. >> i mean, i'm happy to be critical of the obama...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of swing states, and in a majity of states, period, it's not just a get excited cliche now to say election day is upon us. really, seously. geci it's upon us. it's already started. you can tell it's already started is in part because we're in the triage period of the call pain. the time of the election year when people who are spending nein hopes of effecting the eltion outme srt cng r esgi their bets and use their money instead in places they think it will make a difference. "the hill" newspaper reporting this week the republican party's house campaign committee had not yet served any ad time for a hal ncntubn congressmen. a sign that, quote, congressmen in question -- canceled two weeks of its scheduled ad buy for a north carolina democratic incumbent seen as vulnerable. quote, a sign he thinks he's a lost cause in the newly drawn heavily republican dtric ashis ocesaro forward, the emotion starts to ride high for the candidates
and showing president obama in north carolina also up by two. because early voting has already started in a majority of swing states, and in a majity of states, period, it's not just a get excited cliche now to say election day is upon us. really, seously. geci it's upon us. it's already started. you can tell it's already started is in part because we're in the triage period of the call pain. the time of the election year when people who are spending nein hopes of effecting the eltion outme srt...
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Sep 1, 2012
09/12
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president obama will show up monday in toledo, ohio. we have an idea of what happens when you make voting harder. we don't know what will happen this year when places who made voting harder suddenly make it easier again. joining me is duneta judge. i should tell you, there's so muff news out of ohio that she was the lead attorney on another case decided in ohio this week that says the judge cstate can longer throw out your ballot if you accidentally vote in the wrong precinct. thank you for peag here. you're involved in a lot of the intricacies of a lot of these matters. did i explain anything wrong? did it seem roughly correct? >> in ohio, in terms of the provisional ballots, the provisional ballots that are cast in the wrong precinct due to worker error. there were 13,000 of those ballots that were thrown out in 2008. now the court has basically said, when a voter has done everything they possibly can, they have taken their personal responsible as secretary husted often says, they have registered to vote, showed up at the correct poll
president obama will show up monday in toledo, ohio. we have an idea of what happens when you make voting harder. we don't know what will happen this year when places who made voting harder suddenly make it easier again. joining me is duneta judge. i should tell you, there's so muff news out of ohio that she was the lead attorney on another case decided in ohio this week that says the judge cstate can longer throw out your ballot if you accidentally vote in the wrong precinct. thank you for...
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Sep 15, 2012
09/12
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obama and mrs. clinton as head of the state department, when they have to do things like addressing the nation while also managing in a hands-on way what is an ongoing and significant crisis for the country. protests at u.s. embassies grew and spread today. in egypt, in iraq, in india, in bangladesh, in turkey, in pakistan, in kuwait, in syria, where you might think they'd have loaother things on their minds. afghanistan, malaysia, nigeria, in lebanon where a kentucky fried chicken restaurant was torched. in tunisia where the u.s. embassy compound was breached by protesters but no personnel were hurt in tunisia. in qatar, bahrain, in sudan. here's richard engel reporting for nbc. >> reporter: u.s. diplomatic outposts now appear to be easy targets. in yemen for the second day, furious protesters tried to storm the embassy in sanaa, burning american flags, as riot police fire water cannons. gunshots can be heard. why? because they say the u.s. isn't doing enough against the makers of that now infamous
obama and mrs. clinton as head of the state department, when they have to do things like addressing the nation while also managing in a hands-on way what is an ongoing and significant crisis for the country. protests at u.s. embassies grew and spread today. in egypt, in iraq, in india, in bangladesh, in turkey, in pakistan, in kuwait, in syria, where you might think they'd have loaother things on their minds. afghanistan, malaysia, nigeria, in lebanon where a kentucky fried chicken restaurant...
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Sep 4, 2012
09/12
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and yet he is still more than doubled up by barack obama. barack obama still beating him 2 to 1. in theory, republicans could be doing much better than this. theoretically, republicans have some room to move here on policy. president obama, as you know, has been very hard-nosed on border security. he's been deporting people at a really quite remarkable clip. president obama said he would get the dream act passed for immigration reform, but he was not able to do it. the democratic-controlled house passed it, but the senate couldn't get it past the filibuster. harry reid called it his biggest regret from the congress that they didn't get the dream act passed, too. republicans looked at all of the room to work in terms of policy and decided instead of trying to appeal to latino voters on policy, they would pass a platform, a nationalperty platform calling for the establishment of english as the official language of the united states. they called for the arizona papers please laws to be emulated across the country, and then the author of the arizona papers please law left the gop pla
and yet he is still more than doubled up by barack obama. barack obama still beating him 2 to 1. in theory, republicans could be doing much better than this. theoretically, republicans have some room to move here on policy. president obama, as you know, has been very hard-nosed on border security. he's been deporting people at a really quite remarkable clip. president obama said he would get the dream act passed for immigration reform, but he was not able to do it. the democratic-controlled...
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Sep 21, 2012
09/12
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he talks about support for some of obama's policies. but he would vote to make mitch mcconnell the majority -- he talked about being bipartisan. here's the deal. with the democrats in the senate, he's had a chance to be bipartisan. because harry reid and the democratic leadership have brought up things in conjunction with the administration. but we see what goes on in the house. if mitch mcconnell becomes the majority leader, it won't make any difference if scott brown would have voted for equal pay or would have voted for this because he'll get no opportunity to do it. mitch mcconnell has said his first-term goal was so defeat obama. his next-term goal would be to frustrate. him. that's why senator brown did not want to talk about issues except for his vehement objection raisrais raisinrais raising the taxes on the richest people in the country. other than that, i was disappointed by a snarky, personal attack not consistent with the nice guy image he's put forward. >> you know, on the issue of specifically attacking elizabeth warren on
he talks about support for some of obama's policies. but he would vote to make mitch mcconnell the majority -- he talked about being bipartisan. here's the deal. with the democrats in the senate, he's had a chance to be bipartisan. because harry reid and the democratic leadership have brought up things in conjunction with the administration. but we see what goes on in the house. if mitch mcconnell becomes the majority leader, it won't make any difference if scott brown would have voted for...
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Sep 14, 2012
09/12
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and when they've had a chance now to compare president obama and to compare mitt romney. and in that comparison, romney has been failing. obama, whatever anybody feels about his policies, people understand that he knows the issues. that he's a steady hand at the tiller. and that he is not an irresponsible person. he's a mature leader. romney has been all over the map. people don't know what he really believes in. and frequently he has behaved irresponsibly. so he's failing that comparison test. >> do you feel like the foreign policy experience weakness, the on-paper weakness of this ticket, has been magnified in a way that's going to be hard for them to reverse? >> oh, absolutely. what shocks me, you know, romney has no foreign policy background, but he's an intelligent guy. he's had plenty of time to get up to speed on these wmajor issues he knew he'd have to confront in the campaign, but more important, he'd have to confront if he was president of the united states. he has not demonstrated he has mastered any of these issues. >> even when it comes to the mores of approp
and when they've had a chance now to compare president obama and to compare mitt romney. and in that comparison, romney has been failing. obama, whatever anybody feels about his policies, people understand that he knows the issues. that he's a steady hand at the tiller. and that he is not an irresponsible person. he's a mature leader. romney has been all over the map. people don't know what he really believes in. and frequently he has behaved irresponsibly. so he's failing that comparison test....